THINK OTHERWISE

Archive for 十一月, 2009

創意。新加坡。香港

In 原來新加坡, 迅間看地球, 關於我們居住的地方 on 十一月 17, 2009 at 3:19 pm

1. http://www.lkyspp.nus.edu.sg/ips/docs/events/ysc2008/Report_YSC2008_20-211108.pdf

這是關於新加坡走向創意城市之路研討會的撮要

2. 創意的蘊養最重要的一個原素或起始點是”包容”

3. 在新加坡, 有一種東西叫Internal security act(isa) (類似23條), 只要在任何場合發表新加坡的負面言論, 包括網上, 就可以有一個珍貴機會與政府聊聊天.

4. 還有一件有趣事, 在新加坡, 道德與法律的界線比香港更模糊. 因此, 色戒差不多有三分之一, 什至是三分之二被刪; 及後, 群眾相當不滿, 當局在幾個月之後才重新把色戒完整版上畫

5. 在研討會中, political liberation 好像不是重點. 重點是在talent: 如何從外地搬來有創意的人來.

6. 只靠外來人才, 問題可真不少:

  • 本地人不滿: 今期Economists 就有相關報導.
  • 外地人才流失率高, 因為他們大都視新加坡為轉車站
  • 本地人發揮機會少, 因為有過多外地人才

7. 還有的問題是, 坡人覺得政府真捧, 事事懶得想, 懶得說, 再加上isa以及重重的道德管制, think out of the box就成了gucci 貸物. 在這個context下搬來外來創意人才就可以做到創意城市的目標, 我懷疑.

8. 香港的亂哄哄, 其實也可以是一種本錢—若然從這個角度看.

 

空港經濟論

In 關於我們居住的地方 on 十一月 17, 2009 at 4:53 am

早前參加一貿發局之經濟論壇,名為「為香港前途把脈」,主講嘉賓為陳南祿。 有見社會上一眾唱淡香港前途的聲音,甚麼邊緣化、步威尼斯後塵、逐步喪失優勢、被中國多個城市迎頭趕上等,論壇之目的顯而易見,一則集思廣益探討香港前程,二則宣傳貿發局,我亦有幸作為座上客之一,近距離接觸這太古華人大班。

陳南祿之空港經濟論

在此想探討一下陳南祿對香港前程之論調 – 空港經濟論。他指出,無論古今,一個發達的大城市,必然為當初的交通樞紐,長安、羅馬、威尼斯,直今未聽過他們的人口政策何如,文化政策何如,唯有一點,它們都是城市間的交通樞紐。現今之交通主流為何?飛機。因而一語道破,香港有一萬件事可以做,但只要先搞好航空業,其他自然應運而生。

交通樞紐並非人人能做。他的presentation skills與manipulation of data簡直一流,先指出「香港4小時航程以內覆蓋接近整個亞太區」,繼而指出「這些國家總計有著世界上一半人口」,如此龐大的市場,於未來大有所為。如是者,交通頻繁則商務、旅遊、轉機、消費等等應運而生。

我大膽幫他推多一步,需求決定供應之下,很多產業如旅遊業、酒店業、零售業等等將自行復興,舒緩失業,而不需政府泵水,因為航空業正為tipping point。 他又舉出一個例子:法蘭克福。他曾問友人到法蘭克福應到甚麼地方遊玩,友人說,不要到法蘭克福了,那是世界上最沉悶的城市。那為何法蘭克福能成為一個舉世知名的大城市?就是因為他的航空業出色,法蘭克福機場乃是全世界最繁忙,流量最高的機場之一。因此香港要有出路,當務之急,乃是要搞好航空業,創造更具競爭力的航空業,資助航空公司、擴建機場、等等。 不愧是「日理萬機」的陳老闆,連出席經濟論壇也不忘賣廣告。

原先,受到楊汝萬教授和郭國全先生暗指其「角度窄」,我也以為陳南祿是存心騎劫論壇,但之後回家細想,又覺得好像有點道理。

出發點有異

陳南祿作為商人而非學者,講的是很實在的策略。學者看的是全局,要考慮硬件軟件、文化差異、世界經濟、本土民生等等,闊是夠闊,但對普通人來說,聽完以後只覺頭昏腦脹,因素之多,實非正常市民能分析。陳南祿的出發點,則是抓緊一點,以航空對本港之重要性說起。雖然推論極為粗疏,但在執行上,其實他的建議最為言之有物。總的來說,他採取的根本不是一個學術的討論方式,而是商人在商言商,講critical factor,講應運以生。

資源分配之問題

香港有一萬件事可以做,創意產業、醫療旅遊、物流中心、 結算中心等等,每一件事都足以令政府注資數百億付諸實行,每一個產業都有各自的actors和institutions,但我們需要的其實很簡單 – 錢。一鋪麻雀,你不論做萬子筒子索子,食得出的就是一鋪牌,就是錢。窄未必不好,窄而有效,是為一矢中的。 因此,判斷陳南祿是否真的騎劫了大會,問題的癥結就在於他的「空港經濟論」是否確實存在,以及在香港能否「照辦煮碗」。

法蘭克福的空港式經濟

業界其實一直以法蘭克福作為「空港式經濟」的表表者,其重要性不只於作為交通基建,更在於其拉動需求、促進經濟的能力。情況就像一個火車站總是吸引著不同服務乘客的設施,如酒店、食肆、便利店、甚至是擦鞋匠,以頻繁的交通與大量的搭客拉動對本地服務的需求。

第一,作為一個機場最直接的便是創造航空業務相關的職位。且看下文:

機場不僅創造了大量的高質量的就業崗位,如飛行員、空管、機修師、客運公司及貨運公司的高級職員;也為很多素質較低的勞動力提供了工作,如餐飲業、賓館業的服務員,清潔工等。據德國政府的統計,法蘭克福市直接與機場有關的行業,如航空公司,飛機維修公司,空管部門等等,創造了近7萬個就業崗位,而每個直接與機場有關的就業崗位都帶動了3.3個間接與機場相關的就業崗位,粗略計算一下,法蘭克福機場所創造的直接與間接就業崗位接近30萬個,這還不算因為機場交通便捷的原因而在此落戶的、業務與機場無關的一般企業所創造的就業崗位。

如何讓香港的航空業創造更多直接和間接的職位,將是未來政府的一大考量。

第二,吸引大量外來企業,拉動經濟。在現代社會,高效的交通工具對經濟發展必不可少。通訊業發達也好,人與人之間面對面的交往仍是於商務來說最不可替代。因此,隨著經濟的發展,對交通運輸的需求也在不斷增長。世界各國重要的空中交通樞紐,一般都是經濟發達地區,例如全世界最繁忙的機場正是倫敦的Heathrow Airport。而法蘭克福是德國經濟的中心區,企業多而城市密度高,亦是大量銀行座落的地方,由於身為交通樞紐,商務之頻繁拉動對融資等金融服務之需求,打造其成為金融中心,為大量企業提供現金流。

另一方面,在法蘭克福44000多家企業中,各類服務性企業以及大量因航空應運而生的企業亦佔大比數,包括世界各地的航空公司、貨運公司及物流公司的分部。其次如旅遊業、酒店業、物流業等,亦與香港的情況甚為相同。一個只有65萬人口的中等城市,卻有44000多家企業,充分表演機場拉動經濟的能力。企業多,則能為政府提供穩定且可觀的稅收, 收穩定經濟之效。

第三,為出口營造良好條件。航空業快捷的特點有利一些高科技產品以最快的時間、最小的成本運往世界各地。例如,法蘭克福便吸引了數百家物流公司,這些公司將世界各地的產品運進德國,也將德國的產品送往世界各地。就如機械設備,世界各國使用的大量的機械設備常年需要從德國進口各種零配件。在外,法蘭克福機場便有助保證環球供應鍊之穩定性;在內,則打造了其物流中心的可靠品牌。

香港之前景

香港之航空業其實已頗為成熟,要再效法蘭克福此等航空巨擘,創造更多價值,則取決與以下幾個問題:

一、 區內外競爭:面對珠三角、上海等區內機場,以至面對新加坡、曼谷等城市如何定位,提供高端服務(香港沒可能走低端路線)

二、 如何與其他機場或航空公司如何合作,例如當初法蘭克福機場便是靠Lufthansa – Star Alliance食糊,成為區內航空樞紐龍頭

三、 政府如何提供更有優勢之競爭環境予本港航空公司,如資助、擴建機場,以至引入外來競爭,促進航空業發展

四、 如何利用以航空樞紐之優勢發展相關產業,如醫療旅遊、會議展覽、物流、高科技創意產業等等

在我看來,空港經濟論有其道理,在國外亦行之有效,但香港亦有其獨特情況,最重要的,應是先與國內達成共識,各司其職,避免惡性競爭。上網翻查資料時,看到一篇「上海浦東向法蘭克福學師」云云,看來發展航空業,自己爭氣還未足夠,更要阿爺點頭。

延伸閱讀:

1. 陳秋良, 從法蘭克福看機場經濟, 2004

2. Daniyel Felzenshṭain,Eike W. Schamp,A. Shachar, Emerging nodes in global economy,2001

里揚

倫敦。香港。藝術

In 迅間看地球, 關於我們居住的地方 on 十一月 17, 2009 at 4:30 am

來到倫敦,想到人們說香港是文化沙漠,也不無道理。

在學校修讀一科”Performing arts in London”,一開始的原因並不是因為我醉心藝術,而是因為我們可以優惠價50磅看價值150磅,一連六場不同的表演,包括音樂劇、芭蕾舞、莎劇、現代話劇等等,抱著身到異地擴闊視野的心態,一看無妨。

看了才知道,原來倫敦的藝術氣氛多麼濃厚。在香港,聽見人說去看話劇我們會說:嘩,咁有文化呀你?兩三百塊的一張票,只屬於有錢人附庸風雅的玩意。在倫敦,無論是芭蕾或是話劇,時時全院爆滿。印象最深刻的,是去看一場莎劇的時候,台下圍滿了站著的人,一問之下才知道有種只售8磅的經濟票,讓觀眾站在台下看。那種感覺,令你覺得藝術並不一定要很風雅,而是可以與眾同樂的。看場話劇,觀呼整晚,對本地人來說就像飯後去散步一樣的自然、悠閒。一個真正懂得藝術的城市,不會高呼藝術,因為藝術早已融入人生活之中。換了在香港,舊幾水企兩粒幾鐘,有人會幹嗎?

同為metropolitan city,香港的藝術氣氛為何會如此薄弱?在香港讀報,經常看見有劇團呻窮,找不到資助便要結業,或是要排期等政府派錢才能苟延殘喘。我想起那個在covent garden門口表演的印度青年,他仍是兩年前的那一個,說的對白我都記得八成,搞的冷笑話仍是當年的那幾個。看到他那自信滿滿,露出一排白牙笑說:I am a performer, and I do this for my living的時候,心中有點羨慕。為何異國的一個街頭表演者,也像活得比較有尊嚴?

有人謂,香港沒有文化底蘊。我想問的是,同為大城市,我們有甚麼不同?人家有莎士比亞,我們也有李白蘇軾,近一點的,也有唐滌生梅蘭芳,可以發展的市場也有很多,但我們的藝術產業就不見如倫敦一樣的蓬勃。又謂,所謂的藝術,過氣了,現代人不會明白。莎劇用的老式英文也是深奧難明,但散場時聽見鄰座如數家珍般唸出一句又一句的對白,自然得有如我們唸床前明月光,別人能做的,為何我們就不能?

也許又有人會說,香港容納不到藝術。藝術是有錢人的玩意,香港行的是高地價政策,土地一定要用來作一些高增值的產業才能回本,藝術產業根本難以持久。倫敦的租比起我們只高不低,與香港、紐約、東京等地並列世界最貴租的城市。但人家照樣處處劇院,而即便是香港,也有些租金比較便宜的地方,天水圍,也可能可以發展成本土藝術之城。

又謂,香港窮人多,沒倫敦人富有。翻查資料,倫敦有53%住戶收入低於30,000磅一年(約為港幣395,000),香港都有28.3%的住戶有此收入,撇除倫敦生活指數較高的情況不說,都不見得香港的藝術產業有倫敦一半的繁榮程度。而倫敦人卻十分願意花上幾十磅看一場音樂劇,作為茶餘飯後的娛樂。

說穿了,是香港人對藝術沒有需求。無論軟件硬件多好,藝術對香港人來說沒有吸引力,這不是建設一個西九,資助十個藝術團體可以解決到的事。我們對藝術的需求不足以養活這班藝術工作者,這是最根深蒂固的問題。所以在香港,你說你以後要做話劇演員,一係發左達,一係痴左線,何其諷刺!

作為出路,一則試圖不斷向市民洗腦,以push marketing創造他們對藝術的需求。二則透過本土化、大眾化,將傳統藝術演化成一些合市民胃口的表演。可能會有藝術家站出來嘆兩句曲高和寡,但總好過連唱曲的台也窮得被人拆掉。一於齊齊高呼一聲:搵食o者!

在香港,藝術有它的價值,卻找不到它的價錢。以前覺得可笑,過了陣子覺得可悲,現在想來,大概也強求不來,何不大方承認在我們的生存之道裡,可以有容祖兒演唱會,可以有黃子華棟督笑,而容納不下傳統藝術?文化沙漠也沒甚麼大不了,最吊詭的,是繼續宣傳自己作為文化大都會的定位,有點當了婊子還想立牌坊的味道。這也許是西九為何到現在還未完工(或動工?)的原因。

里揚

他們的言論自由

In 原來新加坡, 迅間看地球 on 十一月 12, 2009 at 4:37 am

 

1. 新加坡海峽時報(Straits Times) 11月6日一篇關於言論自由與傳媒的評論, 有趣

2. 特點是文中忠奸分明:忠的是政府, 奸的是傳媒.

3. 似曾相識的調子: “新加坡地少人種多, 經濟又依賴外在環境, 所以不能出差錯”芸芸.


In defence of Singapore exceptionalism

 

THERE are three ways to respond to critics: ignore them, rebut them or engage them.For a long time, the Singapore Government’s preferred response to criticisms levelled at the Republic’s civil-political milieu has been to ignore them. Some ministers with a more combative nature – notably Minister Mentor Lee Kuan Yew – have chosen to rebut them robustly. Few have done the critics the honour of actually looking at their views and engaging them publicly.Law Minister and Second Home Affairs Minister K. Shanmugam did so, as did Chief Justice Chan Sek Keong, during the recent meeting of the New York State Bar Association (NYSBA) International Section in Singapore.This was most welcome. More intellectual leaders in Singapore’s public sector as well as its civil society should do the same.The head-in-sand response to criticism simply backfires these days. Bad press gets widely read online, and ignoring it won’t make it go away. Silence in the context of an activist state like Singapore can be interpreted as assent – especially since ministers here are quick to rebut domestic critics.Dismissing surveys that rank Singapore poorly on civil liberties (Freedom House) or media freedom (Reporters Without Borders) while pointing to surveys that heap praise on Singapore (lots) is not a good way to respond to bad press. The approach begs the question as to why Singapore should pat itself on the back in the case of the latter findings while dismissing the former.A better response to criticism would be to see if there is a basis for the views, and then engage the criticism.Former Straits Times journalist- turned media scholar Cherian George, for example, dissected RWB’s media ranking on his blog and found it wanting conceptually and methodologically.An attitude of sober soul-searching when criticised is always in order. But if the criticisms are shown to be wrong or unfair, then a strong, confident, robust response is called for.This in essence is what the few days of exchanges at the NYSBA conference amounted to. CJ Chan parsed the criticisms of Singapore’s judiciary and took them apart one by one, challenging the assertion that the courts here lack independence or that the rule of law in Singapore was flawed.His comments were learned and measured, like the man himself and as befits the office he holds. Yet anyone listening to or reading the Chief Justice would have been left in no doubt as to the firmness of his message: the judiciary operates independently to enforce the law as laid down by Parliament, without fear or favour to the executive or any other party.Mr Shanmugam’s speeches were even more direct in setting out Singapore’s unique position. His comments were the best I have read in many years in summing up the case for what I have termed ‘Singapore exceptionalism’ before: the notion that Singapore’s unique demographic mix, small size, history and geopolitical position compel it to prioritise communitarian over individual values, order over individual expression.Despite being a new Cabinet member, Mr Shanmugam has taken a leading role in defining the PAP Government’s political philosophy to both an international and domestic audience. It takes confidence and eloquence to do so. As a Singaporean who has chafed at unjust criticisms of this Republic, I read the transcript of Mr Shanmugam’s exchange with his interlocutors from the New York Bar with alacrity.I appreciated the way both CJ Chan and Mr Shanmugam located Singapore’s policy and political choices within the context of a larger philosophical debate on the proper balance society should strike between ideals and practice, order and freedom.This has the advantage of moving the discussion beyond the immediate but limited realm of whether Singapore’s laws on libel, elections, media and detention without trial are designed to maintain the PAP’s grip on power. (These laws may help the incumbent; but one should not confuse cause and effect.)When you frame a debate on these laws as solely about the PAP’s determination to hold on to power, you basically close off avenues for productive engagement. For you would be refusing to take into account the fact that laws do not exist in a vacuum, but are legislated and enforced in response to, and in accordance with, a society’s mores.The more pertinent question is whether the laws are good and necessary for Singapore society as a whole, and whether Singaporeans accept them.Mr Shanmugam’s own view is this: ‘I do not accept the notion that there are these restrictions, and they are designed to keep us in power. I disagree with that.’ On libel laws that give more weight to the protection of reputation than free speech, he said: ‘My position is yes, we need it, we want it and this is our political platform and let the people decide.’This is actually the point where the debate should get interesting – but the panel could not go there, because of time, and because it is a debate only Singaporeans have the moral authority to engage in.Foreign critics can cajole and try to browbeat Singapore lawmakers to change – by pointing perhaps to the incongruity of a sophisticated, successful society with a free economy, having a political climate that has restrictions on expression, assembly and contestation. But it is Singaporeans’ views that matter, and Singaporeans who must decide whether these laws are good for Singapore – or only for the People’s Action Party.Singapore is a work in progress, as Mr Shanmugam acknowledged. It has the paranoid tendency of continuously examining itself so as to get better. Whether decades-old laws curtailing freedoms are relevant today, in a free economy situated in a volatile region, remains an issue to grapple with.When speaking to outsiders in defence of Singapore’s overall political philosophy, which privileges the group over the individual, Mr Shanmugam may be said to be speaking for all Singaporeans. But as to whether Singaporeans support specific laws – on libel, for instance, as used in the political realm, or the laws on the media – short of clear surveys or a referendum, the jury is still out.muihoong@sph.com.sg

一則明報沒有報的新聞

In 原來新加坡, 很多問題的地方, 迅間看地球 on 十一月 12, 2009 at 2:54 am

1. 如下題: 中國送兩隻熊貓給新加坡.

2. 問題: 為何新加坡在中國外交策略上佔如此重要的地位?


China sending two pandas to Singapore From Straits Times

SINGAPORE is getting a pair of black and white furry envoys from China to mark the milestone of 20 years of diplomatic relations.
Visiting Chinese President Hu Jintao announced yesterday at an Istana state banquet that a pair of giant pandas will be delivered to Singapore, as he expressed confidence that Singapore-Sino relations will reach ‘a new high’.
The endangered creatures, which China rarely sends overseas, will arrive here in 2011 and Chinese diplomacy experts believe it is a sign of deepening friendship between the two nations.
‘It reflects the importance of Singapore in China’s foreign policy. Beijing does not send out pandas lightly,’ said international relations analyst Shi Yinhong of Renmin University.
Singapore joins an exclusive club of overseas panda hosts, becoming only the seventh country since 1994 to receive the black and white creatures from China.
The pair of pandas, a one-year-old female and a two-year-old male, are from the Wolong panda reserve in China’s south-western Sichuan province.
After a period of acclimatisation in Singapore, they will be unveiled to the public as the resident stars of the new $140 million River Safari, slated to open in 2012. The furry creatures will be here for a joint research on pandas and will stay for 10 years.
‘The presence of giant pandas in Singapore would deeply capture the hearts of Singaporeans across all walks of life,’ said the Singapore Foreign Ministry in a statement yesterday.
‘They would also be a fitting symbol of the close friendship and strong ties between Singapore and China as we celebrate 20 years of diplomatic relations next year.’
President SR Nathan, who hosted the five-course banquet in honour of Mr Hu and his wife, hailed the anniversary as ‘the cusp of a new chapter’ in bilateral relations.
‘Singapore remains committed to being a close partner in China’s developmental process. Our two flagship projects – the Suzhou Industrial Park and the Tianjin Eco-city – symbolise the close ties and deep mutual understanding between Singapore and China,’ said Mr Nathan, in a dinner attended by several Singapore Cabinet ministers, including Senior Minister Goh Chok Tong.
Mr Nathan added that Mr Hu’s three-day state visit – his first since he assumed the presidency in 2003 – is a significant milestone in ties between the two countries.
After congratulating Mr Hu on the impressive parade at the Tiananmen Square on Oct 1 during China’s 60th National Day, Mr Nathan assured the Chinese leader that Singapore wants an economically vibrant and successful China, playing a role in the region along with other major powers.
‘Singapore wants China to continue to grow and succeed in all its endeavours. We also believe China’s continued engagement with Asia will progress with shared understanding and consensus among the nations of Asia,’ he said.
Mr Hu, who arrived here yesterday after a state visit in Malaysia, said that he was ‘deeply impressed’ with the new developments in Singapore since his last visit in 2002.
‘With a government known for its efficiency, pragmatism and enterprising spirit, and a people hard-working, talented and constantly striving for improvements, you have made remarkable achievements in building a modern country that enjoys political stability, economic prosperity and social harmony,’ he said, after reviewing the Guard of Honour at the Istana.
Mr Hu also met President Nathan and Minister Mentor Lee Kuan Yew for talks yesterday, with the Chinese leader praising Mr Lee as the founder of Sino-Singapore relations. Their meeting stretched half an hour longer than its scheduled 45 minutes.
Mr Hu will meet Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong and SM Goh today, before giving an address at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation CEO summit tomorrow and joining a politically star-studded ensemble of Apec leaders at Suntec City and the Istana this weekend.
For now, though, the buzz is all about the black and white cuddly ambassadors from China. ‘I think the pandas will be great attractions, especially for families because kids will love them,’ said auditor Jasmine Koh, 23.
‘This is really exciting news. I can’t wait to see them.’
shpeh@sph.com.sg
Additional reporting by Lin Zhaowei

Tyranny of Majority: Democracy or Political Islam’s fault?

In 迅間看地球 on 十一月 3, 2009 at 2:29 pm

From Editor: Actually the thoughts about the malleability of Islam, making it possible to moblize people politically, are applicable to other religions, such as Christianity. All in all, the reinterpretations of religious teachings are all done by human kind; we are and will never ever be God and perfect.

1. Introduction

Arskal Salim described the democratization in Indonesia as having a danger of “tyranny of majority” by the dominance of Islam in the state. [1] Interestingly, this assertion induces a question: What’s the origin of this religious tyranny of majority problem—is it one of the intrinsic features of democracy or due to the incompatibility between the Islamic beliefs, which is intolerant by nature to other value systems such as religious ones, and democratic values?

There is a remark on the definition of political Islam for discussion. It’s the synthesis of Islam and politics whereby Islam becomes a medium for the expression and practice of politics.[2]

Another remark will be made on “majorities and minorities”. The meaning of the term is in a relative sense and changes in different contexts. In this essay, it mainly refers to Muslims and non-muslims in the aspect of religious issues.

 

2. Origin of Tyranny of Majority

2.1 Describing the tyranny of majority problem

Arskal Salim well illustrates political islam efforts, as shown by the three cases mentioned, are conducted in a hierarchical and intolerant manner, which can possibly eliminate the diversity in the society.

2.2 Democracy by nature allows the tyranny of majority?

One may say the tyranny of majority problem is led by the nature of democracy. With the practice of “one person, one vote”, the majority as Muslim in Indonesia can then easily have an advantage over non-muslims in shaping the political decision making process on religious affairs.

This assertion does have some credits. Before further elaboration, we may make a remark on “democracy” we are referring to. We shall focus on the actual practice of democratic institutions as well, rather than simply just its spirit as “to value and protect rights of all citizens equally”[3]. Owing to the large size of the state with huge population, technically it’s not feasible to conduct direct democracy, under which almost everyone can be involved as Greek assemblies, on every public issue. Thus, representative democracy, which is a form of government founded on the principle of elected individuals, many of whom may appear as a member of political parties, representing the people, is commonly used in democratic regimes. [4] The essence of the representative democracy is then on “vote”, which constitutes the power base for individuals to get political power; the more vote they get, the stronger the political power they can have. Because of this “vote-oriented” feature, a series of political behavior, which all talk about maximizing the number of vote, are then derived: whether the political parties are programmic or clientalistic[5] to gain mass support; the election itself is used instrumentally as a means of social control by legitimating certain forms and avenues of participation while deligitimating others and so on. On this basis, political parties are sometimes described as “necessary evil” in the representative democracy due to the “vote-oriented” feature, by which the majority, acting as a large vote and thus political power source, is taken more care, sowing the seeds for tyranny of majority problems and being contradictive to democracy spirit.

On top of that, we cannot just simply treat representative democracy in isolation of other variables, which include the economic and political conditions, social structures, which help the shape the actual content of representative democracy. [6]So to speak, the content of representative democracy, including party settings, is arbitrary to contexts.

We shall return to the Indonesia context. There are two factors, related to representative democracy, favouring the tyranny of majority of mulsim over non-muslims: first, the 88% of population as Muslim believers provides a strong incentive for political parties to take more care of their wills, as reflected by the political islam effort, as trials to maximize the number of votes in election; second, the socio-cultural structure is not favouring for the public to be conscious about the importance of respecting the rights of minorities as non-muslims. Besides the case of regulations of place of worship, there was news on 16 Oct, 2009 which can illustrate the overwhelming power of muslim in socio-cultural context.[7] An AV porn star, Maria Ozawa, was invited to Indonesia to take a comedy film, which is not pornographic at all. However, due to the attacks from Muslim students, hardliner organizations, and Amidhan, the Chair of MUI, as well as the demonstrations organized, the film company eventually could not stand with such social pressure and cancelled the schedule of Maria Ozawa for taking the film in Indonesia. What may attract our notice is that in the meantime the invitation received some support from feminists and even got the agreement from Minister of Religious Affair in Indonesia. In short, the vote-oriented feature of representative democracy, along with the socio-cultural context it situates in, the Muslim believers get a huge advantage in religious affairs discussion, in the realms of agenda setting, policy formulation and so on.

One needs to notice that though political parties play an important role of articulating interests into the state in representative society, it’s not the sole one for doing so. It can be explained by understanding political parties as one of the elements of political society bridging the state and civil society[8]. Based on this relationship between civil society and political parties, in the context of religious affairs in Indonesia, large Islamic organizations as NU and MUI in the civil society can possibly have prominent influence on shaping the orientations of political parties. This gives hints on how the socio-cultural contexts define majorities and minorities, via political parties, leading to tyranny of majority problems in representative democracy. The partnership between MUI and PKS on influencing agenda settings of religious affairs illustrates this point. [9]

One may argue if the socio-cultural context matters, then why we lay the blame to democracy itself but not the immature society? The answer stems from the key feature of “vote-oriented” of representative democracy. Once this feature exists, the majorities will always matter for distributing the political influence. The socio-cultural contexts just help us to distinguish who the majorities and minorities are in different places and time. The blame is only invalid when one sufficiently argues that “vote-oriented” is not the key feature of representative democracy.

Another argument will say representative democracy would self-adjust for addressing the problem of tyranny of majority given by poll results in May 2009. Despite the fact that almost 90 per cent of the electorate is Muslim, Islamic parties gained less than 30 per cent of the vote – their lowest figure over the three democratic elections held after the downfall of President Soeharto in 1998.[10] One may conclude that the majority will not necessarily induce tyranny along the timeline and thus optimistically the religious tyranny of majority problem would be solved. This argument is flawed by two reasons. First, the obvious decline in support for Islamic parties does not necessarily mean that the influence of muslim on religious affairs declines when the case of Maria Ozawa shows the muslim religious power is still overwhelming. The possible explanation for the declined support for Muslim parties may be just due to their weak governing power but not the decreased influence of the religion. This perspective is resonated with the observation saying that “if the new secular government fails to address Indonesia’s deep-rooted social and economic problems over the next five years, an Islamic alternative might become more appealing.” [11] Second, as mentioned before, as long as the description of “vote-oriented” feature is valid, the tyranny of majority problem will still exist, though the content of majority will change with contexts.

In short, the religious tyranny of majority problems are derived from the “vote-oriented” feature, which is the hallmark of representative democracy. It thus induces tension with the spirit of democracy as “valuing and protecting rights of all citizens equally”. There are two possible ways out: 1. The version of reinterpretation of Islamic belief emphasizing on tolerance gains the dominant political power, which will be shown as not likely to happen in Indonesia’s context in the following section; 2. The political leaders are determined not to be “vote-oriented” on religious affairs by acknowledging the importance of respecting the rights of minority religious groups as achieving good governance. This would somehow be contingent.

2.3. Political Islam: an enemy to democracy?

We cannot ignore the impact of political islam on democratization while thinking about the origin of tyranny of majority problem. The question to be asked is if the islam belief is by nature incompatible with democracy? If it is so, one may overthrow the above assertions, by arguing that it’s in fact the intolerance caused by Islamic belief, incompatible with democracy spirit, leading to tyranny of majority.

To start with, we need to ask what actually constitutes the Islamic beliefs. We could understand the beliefs as being generated by reinterpretations of writings in Koran. This explains why the Islamic belief actually constitutes a wide spectrum, with moderate, radical believers, popular muslim, politically activist Islam, Islamic fundamentalism and so on[12], but not a single piece of cake. The force pushing the reinterpretation generations may largely come from the tension between secularization and tradition which can be revealed by the tension between conservative and reformist muslim. The reformist Muslim thought is reactive for making Islam relevant by articulating a jurisprudence that addresses modern concerns and issues. [13]

How actually are the reinterpretations generated? The dichotomy of religion and religiosity helps explaining this. On one hand, the religion may be defined as “a coherent corpus of belief and dogmas collectively managed by a body of legitimate holders of knowledge”, while on the other hand religiosity refers to the ‘self-formulation and self-expression of a personal faith”. [14] The collectively managed belief dogmas could be exemplified as state-sanctioned interpretations of Islam once the state is legitimate enough to do so, constituting the political Islam.[15] The personal faith, which can be shaped by secularized values, backgrounds, experiences, knowledge level and personalities, can induce a wide range of reinterpretations of Islamic believe either from the collectively managed dogmas or directly from Koran. Shortly conclude, the Islamic belief is actually very malleable by nature due to reinterpretations.

Owing to the malleability of Islamic belief, its reform is rather vigorous along the timeline. The following example may well illustrate this point. Despite conservative Muslim opposition to the idea of rule by a woman, Indonesia, as one of the largest Muslim states in the world, have had elected women as their heads of government whereas none of these women was directly opposed by an Islamist Party. [16]

Returning to the question of whether the Islamic belief is incompatible with democracy, the key of the answer is not on Islamic belief itself but which kind of reinterpretation is getting dominant political influence. This perspective possibly explains why on one hand a Tunisan Islamist leader with political exile, Rashid Ghanoushi, asserted that “if by democracy is meant the liberal model of government prevailing in the west, a system under which the people freely choose their representatives and leaders, in which there is an alternation of power, as well as all freedoms and human rights for the public, then Muslims will find nothing in their religion to oppose democracy, and it is not in their interests to do so.”[17], while on the other hand, by late 1990s, most Islamist parties and professional associations were at best either simply banned or at worst had their leaders thrown into prisons in the Muslim world. [18]

One may put a narrower argument saying that when Islamic belief is embedded into the state, which will no longer be secular, its incompatibility with democracy spirit may then surface. [19] Given by the vigorous malleability of Islamic belief shown in the paradigm shift towards female ruling, it’s an open question whether this argument is valid or not. The answer depends on how far the reinterpretations such as reformist Muslim can go.

On the other hand, seemingly the democratization process favours the radical reinterpretation of Islamic beliefs, which somehow undermines democracy, as shown by the Indonesia experience. The Laskar Jihad seems to be a good example illustrating this point. It emerged and gained prominence in a short span of time, partly made possible by funding and training from segments of military. More importantly, Laskar Jihad was able to use the unrest to influence public opinion and insist on their version of the religion. [20] The attitudes of mainstream Muslim leaders to Laskar Jihad are somehow ambivalent. On one hand, they disapproved the violent acts of Laskar Jihad but on the other hand, most importantly, they said the leader of Laskar Jihad, Ja’afar Thalib, had every right to try to protect Islam and that he was a legitimate Islamic leader. [21] So to speak, the violent acts which will disrupt consensus building for healthy democracy is legitimized by mainstream Muslim leaders in this world’s largest Muslim state whereas Laskar Jihad just holds a particular version of Islamic belief among reinterpretations. Though after Bali bombing, the radicals are challenged by moderate muslim and secular politicians to a greater extent, whether this pattern of political competition will be fundamentally changed remains an open question. [22]

Shortly conclude, this section aims at pointing out it’s flawed to say the tyranny of majority is caused by the incompatibility between Islamic belief and democracy whereas neglecting the voluminous reinterpretations of the belief. It is argued that whether political islam undermines the healthiness of democracy or not depends on which type of reinterpretations is getting dominant political influence.

 

3. Conclusion

This essay argues that both the feature of representative democracy and political Islam contributes to the religious tyranny of majority problem. For the former, it’s due to the tension between the key feature as “vote-oriented” of representative democracy and democracy spirit. For the latter, it’s not the belief itself written in Koran that matters, but reinterpretations of it. Once the more radical and intolerant reinterpretations gets the dominant political influence, it paves the way for tyranny of majority problem via means such as violent acts and so on.

The possible way out from tyranny of majority thus depends on two conditions: first, the political leaders are determined to stick to good governance criteria such as consensus oriented and not “vote-oriented”, which is somehow contingent and hard; second, there are sufficient check and balances on the version of reinterpretations adopted as political islam to prevent the radical ones from being politically dominant.

 


[1] Arskal Salim, “Muslim Politics in Southeast Asia in Indonesia’s Decentralization: The Religious Majority and the rights of Minorities in the Post-Suharto Era,” in Indonesia: Democracy and the Promise of good governance, Ross Mcleod and Andrew Maclntyre, eds, Singapore:ISEAS, 2007, P.115

[2] Mehran Kamrava, editor, The new voices of Islam, London : I. B. Tauris, 2006. P.6

[3] Langohr, Vickie (2001) ‘Of Islamists and Ballot Boxes: Rethinking the Relationship between Islamism and Electoral Politics’, International Journal of Middle Eastern Studies, 33: 591-610.

 

[4]Victorian Electronic Democracy : Glossary“. July 28, 2005. Retrieved 2007-12-14.

[5] Allen Hicken, “Developing Democracies in South East Asia: Theorizing the Role of Parties and Elections,” in Southeast Asia in Political Science: Theory, Region and Qualitative Analysis, Erik Kuhonta, Dan Slater and Tuong Vu, eds, Standford, CA, Standford University Press, 2008 P. 96

[6] Ibid P.93

[7] Ming Pao, 16-10-2009

[8] Jean L. Cohen & A Arato, Civil Society and Political Theory, Cambridge: MIT Press, 1992, Preface & Introduction Prefix ix

[9] Arskal Salim, “Muslim Politics in Southeast Asia in Indonesia’s Decentralization: The Religious Majority and the rights of Minorities in the Post-Suharto Era,” in Indonesia: Democracy and the Promise of good governance, Ross Mcleod and Andrew Maclntyre, eds, Singapore:ISEAS, 2007, P.131

[10] Inside Story: Indonesia’s Islamic parties in decline, 12 May, 2009, http://news.anu.edu.au/?p=1208

[11] Battle for Indonesia’s Islamic vote, BBC news, http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/358276.stm

[12] Mehran Kamrava, editor, The new voices of Islam, London : I. B. Tauris, 2006. P.6

[13] Ibid P.15

[14] Oliver Roy, Globalized Islam: The Search for a New Ummah (New York: Columbia University Press 2004) P.5-6

[15] Mehran Kamrava, editor, The new voices of Islam, London : I. B. Tauris, 2006. P.4

[16] John L. Esposito and John O. Vo, Islam and Democracy, http://www.neh.gov/news/humanities/2001-11/islam.html

[17] London Observer, 1992

[18] Mehran Kamrava, editor, The new voices of Islam, London : I. B. Tauris, 2006. P.8

[19] Caria Traub, Islamism and Democratic Governance: Islamist Political Parties in Turkey and Indonesia, LKYSPP Research Paper, November 19, 2007, P.17

[20] Suzania Kadir, “Mapping Muslim Politics in Southeast Asia after September 11” in Pacific Review, vol 17, no2 June 2004,  P.212

[21] Ibid, P.213

[22] A Rabasa, Political Islam in South-East Asia: Moderates, Radicals & Terrorists, Adelphi Papers 358, P. 37

曾蔭權,你是道家信徒嗎?

In 看了新聞以後, 關於我們居住的地方 on 十一月 1, 2009 at 10:23 am
83337364.jG5UZy3T.DonaldTsang
雖然從菜園村、 觀塘重建等事例中看到,城市的發展仍然建立在遷拆與重建之上,要說數年來公民社會對保育議題的努力白費了心機,又未免過於灰心。至少我們可以從本年度的 《施政報告》中發現,政府已開始認同城市發展之餘需要進行保育。但之所以民間繼續憤怒,官員繼續重建,在於官員們至今仍無法理解重建保育時為何要考慮民間 訴求──從鄭汝樺局長多次偷偷的、突發的巡視菜園村,便知道官員對民間訴求的恐懼。而今次《施政報告》,正將這種思維示範得淋漓盡致。

 

我 想,再去評斷《施政報告》空洞無物已是多言了,空洞皆因內容抽空得毫無挑剔之處,缺乏具體方向。正如毛澤東大躍進時誰都以為鋼的產量要翻一番是好的,哪怕 是把家裏的鍋都拿出來燒成廢鐵,仍可說得冠冕堂皇。報告建議將中環碼頭用地及中環街市打造成「集消閒、休憩、文化於一地的臨海公共空間」確很吸引,但內容 全是從上而下對公共空間的理解,一旦與民間觀點不同,仍然缺乏機制去反映解決。

迴避重建保育問題所在

況且在有限的綱領式內容中,仍能發現令人憂心的地方。報告論及中央書院遺址將「活化成創意文化地標……邀請團體或企業,提交營辦創意產業的建議書」,不禁讓人想起數碼港和北九龍裁判法院,有誰監察確保成為真正的創意產業,而非地產項目或學店?

報告中囊括的建築物,都是政府擁有的建築物。不難猜想曾特首的用心,既然是政府的建築物,保育時便毋須考慮甚麼持份者的利益,更沒有所謂持份者的「抗爭」。由此可見,這樣的活化計畫務求安全至上,不想挑起社會大眾的反響──甚至不想大家說三道四。

但處理不同持份者的複雜權力關係,正是重建保育的難處所在。土地不一定是政府獨有的,居民在一處地方居住下來建立的感情、鄰舍關係,已經使該土地添了幾分地價以外的價值。曾特首以為光喊保育便可博取民間支持,根本沒有藍圖去妥善處理重建時的糾紛,是離開了重建問題的核心。

有否想過菜園村居民為何如此憤怒呢?是因為政府在收地時從來沒有讓村民做決定的打算,一紙條文便可以為所欲為。《施政報告》根本沒提及政府如何回應菜園村村民訴求、更沒有打算觸及觀塘重建該如何擺平其賠償問題。

政府角色應在民主決策

政 府彷彿假設收地是應然的,然後裏面複雜的權力關係可以自然解決。置重建戶於不理,又沒有機制解決民間訴求,就像莊子那種:「夫能令天下治,不治天下者 也。」,怪不得《施政報告》說小政府說得那麼振振有詞了。但政府本有在市場力量以外進行公正分配的角色,曾特首全沒有思考這方面的責任。

台灣高雄市處理保育重建比香港成熟多了,他們願意為每個保育個案成立委員會,廣邀民間社會、政府專家共商保育方案。剩下的便是講求委員會的民主性,以及是否有足夠權力,讓持份者進行民主規劃、決策。但試想即使菜園村居民的建議方案多達三個,鄭汝樺等官員依然繼續收地。那麼,即使有再多中西區活化計畫掩飾,政府在解決重建保育問題上,仍然沒走出與民間社會的對立面。

區諾軒

Roundtable成員、中大政治與行政學系本科生

(文章刊於2009-11-01星島日報)